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+元大京華晨訊:蘊釀反彈
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+<font style="font-size:15pt;color:#cc0000"><b>
+元大京華晨訊:蘊釀反彈
+</b>
+</font>
+(2001/3/02
+)
+ </td>
+</tr>
+<tr>
+<td valign="top">
+<DIV>
+<span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt;color:#000099;TEXT-INDENT: 18pt">
+<P>昨(1)日大盤以跳空方式重挫,一舉跌破5650點及5570點的支撐,雖然收盤仍有22檔股票漲停,但是卻有62家是以跌停做收,這種情形是自高點回檔以來所首見,賣壓最強大的一天,顯然觀望的籌碼紛紛停損殺出。在昨日跌停的62檔股票中,有將近2/3是電子股,包括台積電、宏電、茂矽等重量級電子股,連金融股領先整理許久,也難逃受牽連的下場。短線跌速加快,是末跌趕底的走勢;還是主跌段加速,須用心求證。研判末跌段或是主跌段最有效的方法之一,就是觀察缺口回補的狀況。若是末跌趕底的走勢,為竭盡缺口,是空方力量最後的渲洩。通常都能在短時間內迅速回補。至於主跌段的缺口,由於趨勢剛剛形成,大多為中間缺口。一般而言,中間缺口是很少在短期內回補的。所以,昨日在5660-5584點的跳空缺口能否在3日內回補是相當關鍵的。只要缺口能夠回補,那麼拉回都可建立多頭部位。另外,昨日提及回檔1/3或0.382倍的支撐,當然是遭摜穿。可預見的支撐也下移至1/2的位置,約在5375點上下,與72日均線的5410點是相當接近,此一位置的支撐力量不小,應該不會像5575點的狀況。至少看在跌深反彈的角度,是有反彈可以預期。反彈的重點股應該是以回檔較深的電子股及金融股為主。這兩類股是最能發揮撐盤任務的。若電子、金融反彈,須留意中概題材的小型股,有可能趁亂混水摸魚。操作上,中概股炒作漲幅已大,不宜再追高,反應向上減碼,仍持有電子、金融股的部位則可暫時續抱。</P>
+<p align="right">[<a href="http://www.smartnet.com.tw" target="_new">SmartNet智富網</a>提供]</p>
+</span>
+</DIV>
+</td>
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+<tr align="center"><td>
+<script Language="JavaScript" src="http://sqbase.cts.com.tw/ad_server/adbase.asp?c=1&amp;b=1&amp;f=0&amp;i=25&amp;h=10">
+
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+<td NAME="right_tdbg" id="right_tdbg" valign="top" height="540" width="180" background="/himages/transparent.gif" style="background-position: 0% 100% ; background-repeat:no-repeat">
+<table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%">
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+<tr><td align="center" colspan="3" bgcolor="black" width="126">
+<table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"><tr><td height="5"></td></tr></table>
+<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt"><font color="white">新.聞.掃.瞄</font></span>
+</td>
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+<tr>
+<td xbgcolor="blue" width="1"></td>
+<td align="center" value="blue">
+<table cellpandding="0" cellspacing="0">
+<tr><td>•</td>
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+<A href="news20010302A23.htm"><span style="font-size:9pt">五星級便當一百可買
+..</span>
+</A>
+</td></tr>
+<tr><td colspan="2" height="5">
+</td></tr>
+<tr><td>•</td>
+<td align="left" nowrap="true">
+<A href="news2001030245.htm"><span style="font-size:9pt">傳利率將調降美股上
+..</span>
+</A>
+</td></tr>
+<tr><td colspan="2" height="5">
+</td></tr>
+<tr><td>•</td>
+<td align="left" nowrap="true">
+<A href="news2001030211.htm"><span style="font-size:9pt">國內PE、PP塑膠
+..</span>
+</A>
+</td></tr>
+<tr><td colspan="2" height="5">
+</td></tr>
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+<A href="news2001030212.htm"><span style="font-size:9pt">台積電ADR1日跌
+..</span>
+</A>
+</td></tr>
+<tr><td colspan="2" height="5">
+</td></tr>
+<tr><td>•</td>
+<td align="left" nowrap="true">
+<A href="news2001030213.htm"><span style="font-size:9pt">聯電ADR1日跌幅
+..</span>
+</A>
+</td></tr>
+<tr><td colspan="2" height="5">
+</td></tr>
+<tr><td>•</td>
+<td align="left" nowrap="true">
+<A href="news2001030214.htm"><span style="font-size:9pt">旺宏ADR1日跌幅
+..</span>
+</A>
+</td></tr>
+<tr><td colspan="2" height="5">
+</td></tr>
+<tr><td>•</td>
+<td align="left" nowrap="true">
+<A href="news2001030215.htm"><span style="font-size:9pt">美福雷電1日跌幅3
+..</span>
+</A>
+</td></tr>
+<tr><td colspan="2" height="5">
+</td></tr>
+<tr><td>•</td>
+<td align="left" nowrap="true">
+<A href="news2001030216.htm"><span style="font-size:9pt">日月光ADR1日跌
+..</span>
+</A>
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+<tr><td colspan="2" height="5">
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+<A href="news2001030217.htm"><span style="font-size:9pt">台股1日融資餘額減
+..</span>
+</A>
+</td></tr>
+<tr><td colspan="2" height="5">
+</td></tr>
+<tr><td>•</td>
+<td align="left" nowrap="true">
+<A href="news2001030218.htm"><span style="font-size:9pt">IBM傳看好本季營
+..</span>
+</A>
+</td></tr>
+<tr><td colspan="2" height="5">
+</td></tr>
+<tr><td>•</td>
+<td align="left" nowrap="true">
+<A href="news2001030219.htm"><span style="font-size:9pt">鼎康期貨:注意外資
+..</span>
+</A>
+</td></tr>
+<tr><td colspan="2" height="5">
+</td></tr>
+<tr><td>•</td>
+<td align="left" nowrap="true">
+<A href="news20010302110.htm"><span style="font-size:9pt">力世晨訊:以量止跌
+..</span>
+</A>
+</td></tr>
+<tr><td colspan="2" height="5">
+</td></tr>
+<tr><td>•</td>
+<td align="left" nowrap="true">
+<A href="news20010302111.htm"><span style="font-size:9pt">甲骨文獲利不如預期
+..</span>
+</A>
+</td></tr>
+<tr><td colspan="2" height="5">
+</td></tr>
+<tr><td>•</td>
+<td align="left" nowrap="true">
+<A href="news20010302112.htm"><span style="font-size:9pt">元大京華晨訊:蘊釀
+..</span>
+</A>
+</td></tr>
+<tr><td colspan="2" height="5">
+</td></tr>
+<tr><td>•</td>
+<td align="left" nowrap="true">
+<A href="news20010302113.htm"><span style="font-size:9pt">菁英晨訊:利空消息
+..</span>
+</A>
+</td></tr>
+<tr><td colspan="2" height="5">
+</td></tr>
+<tr><td>•</td>
+<td align="left" nowrap="true">
+<A href="news20010302114.htm"><span style="font-size:9pt">太平洋晨訊:指數於
+..</span>
+</A>
+</td></tr>
+<tr><td colspan="2" height="5">
+</td></tr>
+<tr><td>•</td>
+<td align="left" nowrap="true">
+<A href="news20010302115.htm"><span style="font-size:9pt">台育期貨:台股重挫
+..</span>
+</A>
+</td></tr>
+<tr><td colspan="2" height="5">
+</td></tr>
+<tr><td>•</td>
+<td align="left" nowrap="true">
+<A href="news20010302116.htm"><span style="font-size:9pt">歐洲主要股市收盤行
+..</span>
+</A>
+</td></tr>
+<tr><td colspan="2" height="5">
+</td></tr>
+<tr><td>•</td>
+<td align="left" nowrap="true">
+<A href="news20010302117.htm"><span style="font-size:9pt">荷銀建議B股投資人
+..</span>
+</A>
+</td></tr>
+<tr><td colspan="2" height="5">
+</td></tr>
+<tr><td>•</td>
+<td align="left" nowrap="true">
+<A href="news20010302118.htm"><span style="font-size:9pt">華寶:DRAM庫存
+..</span>
+</A>
+</td></tr>
+<tr><td colspan="2" height="5">
+</td></tr>
+</table>
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+<td xbgcolor="blue" width="1"></td>
+<td width="60"></td>
+</tr>
+<!--<tr><td align="center" colspan="3" bgcolor="black" width="126" height="15"><font color="white"></font></td></tr>
+-->
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+
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+<SCRIPT LANGUAGE="JavaScript">
+ chage_tdbg(right_tdbg,RndImg0());
+ </SCRIPT>
+<table width="780" border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0">
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+<a href="/ctse" target="_top" class="b">華視文化公司</a>•<br />
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+<img src="/himages/transparent.gif" height="3" /><br />
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